MORTGAGE INDICES: USA

July 6, 2010 at 10:56 pm | Posted in Economics, Financial, History, Research, USA | Leave a comment

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MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION

The Market Composite Index

Weekly Applications Survey

The Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey is an indispensable tool for subscribers to stay current on the latest real estate finance trends. This subscription-based survey contains 15 indices covering application activity for fixed rate, adjustable rate, conventional and government loans for home purchases and refinances. A new report is posted every Wednesday with the previous week’s market activity.

The weekly data dates back from 1990 through the most current week. Historical data is available at an additional cost. The report also includes percent changes in number and dollar volume of applications from a week, a month and a year; average loan size; average contract interest rates and corresponding points for six popular mortgage products; the refinance and ARM shares of applications (by application number and dollar amount).

The Market Composite Index

a measure of mortgage loan application volume

WASHINGTON, D.C. (June, 30 2010) The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) today released its Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending June 25, 2010. The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, increased 8.8 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index increased 8.3 percent compared with the previous week.

MORTGAGE BANKERS ASSOCIATION

The Market Composite Index

Weekly Applications Survey

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CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP: MIDDLE EAST & WORLD POSTS FROM MAIN CFG WEBSITE

July 6, 2010 at 10:14 pm | Posted in Arabs, CFG, Globalization, History, Islam, Israel, Middle East, World-system, Zionism | Leave a comment

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CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP:

Middle East & World Posts from CFG Main Website

http://www.cambridgeforecast.org

MIDDLE EAST & WORLD

01. EXPLAINING THE CFG HOME PAGE

02. EXPLAINING THE CFG HOME PAGE II: THE TWO WORLD SYSTEMS

03. EXPLAINING THE CFG HOME PAGE III

04. CFG ESSAY: EXPLAINING THE PRESENT

05. CFG ESSAY: EXPLAINING TOMORROW

06. CFG ESSAY: EXPLAINING TOMORROW II

07. CFG ESSAY: JUDEOCENTRISM BLOCKING GLOBALIZATION

08. CFG ESSAY: JUDEOCENTRISM BLOCKING GLOBALIZATION PART II

09. YEMEN TIMES: ISRAEL’S HIDDEN AGENDA BY RICHARD MELSON

10. BIS REVIEWS NOS.70&71

11. BIS REVIEWS NOS.58&59: GLOBAL IMBALANCES

12. BIS REVIEWS NOS.72&73: GLOBAL IMBALANCES II

13. GLOBALIZED ISLAM: OLIVIER ROY BOOK

14. GOOD MUSLIM: PROFESSOR MAMDANI BOOK

15. GREAT WAR FOR CIVILIZATION: ROBERT FISK BOOK

16. BANAMEX CITIGROUP: MEXICO

17. CGES: RUSSIA OIL & GAS

18. WIBC 2005

19. WIBC 2005: PRE-CONFERENCE UPDATE

20. WIFC 2005: WORLD ISLAMIC FUNDS CONFERENCE

21. ISLAMIC FINANCE SUMMIT: LONDON EUROMONEY

22. WIBC: RETAIL BANKING SUMMIT

23. COMMITTEE ON THE PRESENT DANGER: PRESS RELEASE

24. RUSSIA-TURKEY GAS PIPELINE

25. PROJECT FINANCE MAGAZINE

26. BIS REVIEWS NOS.74&75

27. TAU NOTES 151: IRAQ

28. MENAFN

29. PALESTINE MEDIA CENTER

30. PRISM: REUVEN PAZ ISLAMIST MOVEMENTS

31. PRISM: REUVEN PAZ ISLAMIST MOVEMENTS JIHADIS EUROPE

32. DOWN TO EARTH: NEWSLETTER ON INDONESIA ECOLOGY

33. MERIA NEWS: HERZLIYA ISRAEL

34. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.114: ASIA

35. COMMITTEE ON THE PRESENT DANGER: JOSEPH LIEBERMAN & JAMES WOOLSEY

36. CASPIAN CONFERENCE

37. KUWAIT FINANCIAL CENTRE: MARKAZ

38. SABIC: SAUDI ARABIA

39. SOUTH CENTRE BULLETIN NO.113: POLITICS OF GLOBAL HUNGER

40. CHINA ENERGY: ARGUS WEBINAR

41. CHINA VIEW

42. REZA ASLAN BOOK: NO GOD BUT GOD

43. BIS REVIEW NO.76 & PRESS RELEASE

44. ECONOMIST MAGAZINE NOVEMBER 2005: TIRED OF GLOBALIZATION

45. ROBERT WILLIAMS: EXPORT AGRICULTURE AND THE CRISIS IN CENTRAL AMERICA BOOK

46. ISRAEL HASBARA COMMITTEE

47. LYING FOR EMPIRE: DAVID MODEL BOOK

48. WIBC: MUDARABA CONTRACTS ISLAMIC BANKING

49. CONTACTING SHARON

50. DAVID FROMKIN ON LAWRENCE

51. ISLAMIC BANKER AWARD

52. ISLAMIC-FINANCE.COM: LONDON

53. AIR POWER STUDIES

54. NATIONAL DEFENSE UNIVERSITY: INSTITUTE FOR NATIONAL SECURITY STUDIES

55. US MILITARY: CENTCOM

56. GLOBAL SECURITY: QODS FORCE

57. MERIA JOURNAL HERZLIYA ISRAEL: ISLAM & AZERBAIJAN

58. IIMA TOKYO: INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL MONETARY AFFAIRS

59. MERIA: MIDDLE EAST REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS: IRAN AFTER THE IRAQ WAR

60. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.115: THE RIGHT TO DEVELOPMENT

61. GAMLA: ISRAEL

62. ACPR NATIV ONLINE: ISRAEL

63. CHAD-CAMEROON OIL PIPELINE: EXXON-MOBIL & WORLD BANK INVOLVEMENT

64. MALARIA

65. SERGEY KAPITZA: WORLD POPULATION TRENDS

66. WIBC: PARTICIPANTS BAHRAIN CONFERENCE

67. PRCS: INVITATION

68. THE 2010 MELTDOWN: BOOK

69. BIS REVIEW NO.77

70. BIS REVIEW NOS.78&79

71. BANK MUSCAT: OMAN

72. PETER TURCHIN BOOK: EMPIRES

73. MANHIGUT YEHUDIT: JEWISH LEADERSHIP MOVEMENT

74. JOURNAL OF WORLD-SYSTEMS RESEARCH

75. CLEAN DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM

76. ASIAN ISLAMIC FINANCE & BANKING: EUROMONEY CONFERENCE

77. WIBC: COMPETITIVENESS REPORT

78. WIBC: PRESS RELEASE DECEMBER 11 2005

79. ARUTZ SHEVA: ISRAEL NATIONAL NEWS UNRWA HAMAS

80. KIPCO KUWAIT & SUMNER REDSTONE OF VIACOM

81. MACROHISTORY: GALTUNG BOOK

82. JOURNAL OF WORLD-SYSTEMS RESEARCH: GLOBALIZATION

83. BIS REVIEW NOS.80&81

84. BIS REVIEW NOS.82&83

85. BIS REVIEW NOS.84&86

86. WIBC: UPDATE DECEMBER 12 2005

87. BERNANKE SAVINGS GLUT

88. MERIA HERZLIYA: CHECHNYA & DAGESTAN

89. THIRD WORLD DISARTICULATED ECONOMIES: CIRCULAR FLOW

90. JERUSALEM SUMMITS: ZIONOMICS & COUNTERGLOBALISM

91. MUSLIMS & JEWS IN THE WORLD-SYSTEM

92. CASPIAN OIL CONFERENCE

93. AFRICAN SECURITY REVIEW

94. GOLD NEWS

95. NCB BANK JEDDAH SAUDI ARABIA

96. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.152: IRAN SPACE PROGRAM

97. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.153: IRAN

98. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.154: HAMAS

99. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.155: IRAN II

100. MERIA JOURNAL DECEMBER 2005: LEBANON

101. INDIA: DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH

102. INDIA: PUBLIC FINANCES

103. INDIA IRAN ENERGY

104. ISRAEL UNITS & SQUADS

105. RUSSIA & OPEC COORDINATION

106. RUSSIA FORECASTING

107. TURKMEN INFO

108. MUSELMANN

109. OPERATION SHEKHINAH: ISRAEL GRABBING IRAQ’S OIL

110. HERZLIYA CONFERENCES

111. QATAR PETROLEUM CONFERENCES

112. SHANGHAI COOPERATION ORGANIZATION

113. JERUSALEM ISSUE BRIEF: DORE GOLD JCPA

114. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY FORUM

115. INTERNATIONAL ENERGY FORUM: II

116. ABS ENERGY

117. PLATTS ENERGY

118. DUBAI: AL MAKTOUM DYNASTY

119. IMAM SHAMIL TO SHAMIL BASAYEV IN CHECHNYA

120. GLORIA RESEARCH CENTER: ISRAEL

121. BOVESPA BRAZIL

122. RIFT VALLEY INSTITUTE

123. CI RATINGS: BANKMUSCAT BAHRAIN

124. INTERNATIONAL ISLAMIC FINANCE FORUM

125. EGYPTIAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC STUDIES

126. EGYPTIAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC STUDIES

127. FERNAND BRAUDEL

128. FERNAND BRAUDEL PAPERS

129. IMEMO WORLD ECONOMY: RUSSIA

130. CASPIAN ANNOUNCEMENT

131. MERIA: MIDDLE EAST REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS: ARAB SYSTEM

132. CAMBRIDGE ARAB MEDIA PROJECT

133. BIS REVIEW NOS.1 & 2: 2006

134. BIS REVIEW NOS.3 & 4 2006: ISLAMIC FINANCE

135. BIS REVIEW NOS.5 & 6: 2006

136. BIS REVIEW NOS.88 & 87: 2005

137. LEVERHULME RESEARCH CENTRE: UK

138. JANE’S INTELLIGENCE DIGEST

139. TAU NOTES NO.156: HAMAS MUNICIPAL

140. TAU NOTES NO.157: PERSIAN GULF

141. TAU NOTES NO.158: IRAQ

142. TAU NOTES NO.159: HAMAS

143. JCSS: MIDDLE EAST STRATEGIC BALANCE

144. ISLAMIC FINANCE & THE EMERGING INTERNATIONAL SYSTEM

145. SOUTH BULLETIN: WTO

146. MOSSAD

147. PRISM: ISRAELI ISLAMOPHOBIA THINK TANK

148. NATURE: MAGAZINE

149. RUDDIMAN BOOK: PLOWS, PLAGUES & PETROLEUM

150. GLOBAL POVERTY RESEARCH GROUP

151. ISLAMOPHOBIA: KNESSET KCAC

152. ISLAMOPHOBIA: JERUSALEM INSTITUTE

153. JCSS STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT: TEL AVIV

154. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.160: IRAN

155. BANK MUSCAT: OMAN

156. ISLAMIC FINANCE FORUM: DUBAI MARCH 2006

157. BIS REVIEW NOS.8& 7: ISLAMIC FINANCE

158. JERUSALEM ISSUE BRIEF: DORE GOLD

159. IAGS: ENERGY SECURITY MOSSAD

160. ISRAELI OPPRESSION MACHINERY: GOLANI BRIGADE EGOZ YAMAM SHABAK

161. CGES OIL & GAS: LONDON

162. CGES OIL & GAS II: LONDON

163. WORLD GAS INTELLIGENCE

164. SOUTH BULLETIN 118: GENEVA

165. HERZLIYA CONFERENCE: JOHN BOLTON

166. IISD: WATER

167. MOSES HESS

168. ISLAMIC FINANCE NEWS: 21ST. CENTURY

169. MERIA NEWS: GLORIA CENTER ISRAEL

170. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.161: HAMAS

171. US-ISLAMIC WORLD FORUM: DOHA QATAR

172. BIS REVIEW NOS.10 & 11

173. ENERGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE: CHINA

174. FREEMAN CENTER MACCABEAN ONLINE: MOSHE FEIGLIN ON IDF

175. ISRAEL SPECIAL FORCES UNITS: HISTORY

176. MAGAV: BORDER POLICE ISRAEL

177. NAHAL: ISRAEL UNIT

178. SHABAK: SECRET SERVICE ISRAEL

179. DOHA DEBATES: HAMAS

180. MEFTEC PRESS RELEASE

181. SOUTH BULLETIN 119: SOUTH CENTRE GENEVA

182. INTELLIGENCE BUREAU: INDIA PAKISTAN ISRAEL

183. DAYAN CENTER ISRAEL: JORDAN & HAMAS

184. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.162: JORDAN & HAMAS

185. BIS REVIEW NOS.12 & 13: ISLAMIC TAKAFUL FINANCE

186. BIS REVIEW NOS.14 & 9

187. MEES CONFERENCE: OIL & GAS

188. MERIA JOURNAL: ISRAEL KARMON ESSAY

189. PALESTINE CHARITY: ICU LONDON

190. IMRA ISRAEL: OLMERT TACTICS

191. CENTRE FOR POLICY RESEARCH: INDIA

192. ICRIER: INDIA

193. OIL & GAS: OILGASIQ CONFERENCE

194. ALEXANDER OIL & GAS

195. CHINA: ALEXANDER OIL & GAS

196. INVESTCORP: BAHRAIN

197. PAKISTAN ISRAEL INDIA: KAHUTA WMD

198. PAKISTAN ISRAEL INDIA

199. JERUSALEM ISSUE BRIEF: SECURITY WALL

200. SIWI: WATER

201. WATER SUPPLY FORUM

202. FINANCIAL STABILITY FORUM

203. CASPIAN OIL & GAS: KAZAKHSTAN

204. CONTACTING SHAUL MOFAZ

205. JERUSALEM SUMMITS: COUNTER-GLOBALIZATION

206. Al-AWDA: PALESTINE RETURN

207. PALESTINE POLL 19

208. MERIA JOURNAL: MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD EGYPT

209. MERIA JOURNAL: MIDDLE EAST IDENTITY

210. MERIA JOURNAL: RUSSIA SYRIA PUTIN

211. BIS REVIEW NOS.15 & 16

212. BIS REVIEW NOS.17 & 18

213. BIS REVIEW NOS.19 & 20

214. BIS REVIEW NOS.22 & 23 ISLAMIC FINANCE ESSAY

215. MERIA JOURNAL: PAKISTAN

216. DOHA DEBATES: QATAR

217. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.120: NORTH-SOUTH

218. SABEEL JERUSALEM: PALESTINIAN CHRISTIANS

219. BUSH & AIPAC: ISRAELIZATION OF WASHINGTON POLICY

220. ALHEWAR: AIPAC & ISRAELIZATION OF WASHINGTON POLICY

221. ZAMAN TURKEY: AIPAC & ISRAELIZATION OF WASHINGTON POLICY

222. HINDUISM: RAJIV MALHOTRA

223. MERIA JOURNAL: BLOCKING IRAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM

224. MERIA JOURNAL: STOPPING IRAN

225. MEXICO WORLD WATER FORUM: DAY 2

226. SMALL HYDROPOWER

227. ISRAELI SETTLEMENTS

228. FOUNDATION FOR THE DEFENSE OF DEMOCRACY: FDD

229. FOUNDATION FOR THE DEFENSE OF DEMOCRACY: BUSH SPEECH MARCH 13 2006

230. RUSSIAN ENERGY: SWEDISH FOI ANALYSIS

231. RAS: RUSSIA

232. ARAB RIGHTS

233. TAU NOTES NO.163: IRAN NUCLEAR

234. ICAHD: ISRAEL

235. ICAHD: ISRAEL II

236. STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT: ISRAEL

237. STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT: ISRAEL II

238. STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT: ISRAEL III RUSSIA

239. DOHA DEBATES: ELBARADEI

240. NATIV ISRAEL

241. NATIV ISRAEL II

242. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.121: ISLAM & THE WEST

243. ARIEL CENTER ISRAEL: DAVID BUKAY PAPER ON ISLAM

244. CCFI: SAUDI ARABIA

245. CGES: WORLD ENERGY FUTURE & SHEIK YAMANI

246. FUTURES: ELSEVIER JOURNAL

247. ISRAEL’S DE FACTO OPERATIVES IN WASHINGTON

248. CHRISTIANS UNITED FOR ISRAEL: CUFI

249. CHRISTIAN ZIONISM: ICEJ JERUSALEM

250. CHRISTIAN ZIONISM: ICEJ JERUSALEM II

251. CHRISTIAN ZIONISM: ICEJ JERUSALEM III

252. GENEVA INITIATIVE

253. BIS REVIEW NOS. 24 & 25

254. BIS REVIEW NOS. 26 & 27

255. BIS REVIEW NOS. 28 & 29

256. BIS REVIEW NOS. 30 & 31: TAKAFUL ISLAMIC FINANCE

257. BIS REVIEW NOS. 32 & 33

258. BIS REVIEW NOS. 34 & 35

259. BIS REVIEW NOS. 36 & 37: FORECASTING

260. BIS REVIEW NOS. 39 & 40

261. BIS REVIEW NOS. 41 & 42: INDIA

262. BIS REVIEW NOS. 43 & 44: ISLAMIC BANK

263. ISLAMIC FINANCE: GORDON BROWN UK

264. TRADE ARABIA BUSINESS

265. SICO: BAHRAIN

266. EFG-HERMES: EGYPT

267. TAIB BAHRAIN

268. TAIB BAHRAIN II

269. TAIB BAHRAIN III

270. TAIB YATIRIM BANK: TURKEY

271. KIPCO ASSET MANAGEMENT: KAMCO KUWAIT

272. SHUAA CAPITAL: DUBAI

273. SHUAA CAPITAL II: DUBAI

274. NAEEM HOLDING COMPANY: EGYPT

275. RIYAD BANK: SAUDI ARABIA

276. BAKHEET FINANCIAL ADVISORS: SAUDI ARABIA

277. GIC: KUWAIT

278. BANK AUDI: BEIRUT

279. AME INFO: MIDDLE EAST DATA

280. ATLAS INVEST: AMMAN JORDAN

281. JIF BANK: JORDAN & PALESTINE II

282. ARABIAN BUSINESS

283. JCSS STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT: ISRAEL

284. JCSS STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT: ISRAEL VS PALESTINIANS

285. TAU NOTES NO.166 ISRAEL: KHARTOUM ARAB SUMMIT

286. TAU NOTES NO.167 ISRAEL: LEBANON

287. TAU NOTES NO.168 IRAN NUCLEAR PROGRAM

288. MERIA NEWS NO.3: KNESSET

289. MERIA NEWS NO.4: RESEARCH

290. STANDARD CHARTERED BANK: JORDAN

291. EXPORT & FINANCE BANK: JORDAN

292. LAWRENCE LIVERMORE SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY REVIEW: CARBON CYCLE AMAZON

293. EARTH ENERGY BUDGET

294. EARTH ENERGY BUDGET II

295. BIOFUELS DATA & PROF. PATZEK

296. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.122: SOUTH-SOUTH COOPERATION

297. LORD LEVY & TONY BLAIR

298. LORD LEVY & TONY BLAIR II

299. SABEEL: PALESTINIAN CHRISTIANS

300. MEES: MIDDLE EAST ECONOMIC SURVEY

301. KIPCO: KUWAIT

302. BANK AUDI: LEBANON

303. ISRAEL REPORTER

304. EFRAIM HALEVY MOSSAD: HEBREW UNIVERSITY

305. QATTAN FOUNDATION PALESTINE

306. BLOM BANK: LEBANON

307. ADB: BOND MARKETS

308. CHINA ANALYST: PIPER JAFFRAY

309. JEALOUSY OF TRADE: ISTVAN HONT BOOK

310. DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH: NEW ECONOMY

311. SOUTH CENTRE GENEVA: SOUTH BULLETIN NO.123 DOHA ROUND

312. UNDP CONFERENCE

313. PRESIDENT AHMADINEJAD IRAN

314. OIL & GAS MIDDLE EAST

315. EIA ENERGY FORECAST

316. ALLIANCE FOR GLOBAL SUSTAINABILITY

317. WORLD HALAL FORUM

318. HEBRON

319. ZOA & WHITE HOUSE

320. ARAB RIGHTS

321. AL MEZAN CENTER: PALESTINE

322. JIF BANK: JORDAN & PALESTINE

323. YESH GVUL: ISRAEL MILITARY REFUSENIKS

324. IDF & EGOZ BATTALION: MILITARIZED OPPRESSION OF PALESTINE

325. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.169: IRAQ

326. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.124: NEO-LIBERALISM

327. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.125: GLOBALISM

328. ISLAM IN AFRICA NEWSLETTER: PRISM ISRAEL

329. DAYAN CENTER: IRAQ

330. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.170: IRAN

331. TEL AVIV NOTES NO.172: OLMERT

332. ARAB HUMAN RIGHTS

333. BASEL COMMITTEE BIS

334. IEA FORUM: DOHA

335. HARVARD MAGAZINE: FUELING OUR FUTURE

336. CGES OIL DATA

337. JOINT ECONOMIC COMMITTEE: BERNANKE

338. TAU NOTES NO.164: ISRAELI ELECTIONS

339. TAU NOTES NO.165: HAMAS ELECTION

340. TAU NOTES NO.171: LIBYA

341. TAU NOTES NO.173: IRAN

342. MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: ORIENTALISM

343. MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: PUTIN & MIDDLE EAST GOALS

344. MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: PANEL DISCUSSION ON EGYPT

345. MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: PANEL DISCUSSION ON WOMEN

346. MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: FUTURE OF IRAQ

347. MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: FUTURE OF IRAN

348. MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: SYRIA

349. ORWELLO-ZIONISM: JAMES WOOLSEY WSJ

350. TARSHISH FOUNDATION ISRAEL: CHRISTIANS & JEWS

351. TARSHISH FOUNDATION ISRAEL: CHRISTIANS & JEWS II

352. BIS REVIEW NOS. 45 & 46: GLOBAL IMBALANCES & INTEREST RATE CYCLE

353. BIS REVIEW NOS.47 & 46: GLOBALIZATION

354. BIS REVIEW NOS.49 & 48: GLOBALIZATION & INDIA

355. BIS REVIEW NOS.51 & 50

356. BIS REVIEW NOS.53 & 52: ISLAMIC FINANCE

357. BIS ISLAMIC FINANCE

358. BIS REVIEW NOS.55 & 54: FISCHER VERSUS AZIZ

359. BIS REVIEW NOS.57 & 56: GLOBALIZATION PLUS BERNANKE ENERGY SPEECH

360. BIS REVIEW NOS.58: GLOBALIZATION TIMELINE FOR THE BIS

361. BIS REVIEW NOS.60 & 59: FINANCE & GLOBALIZATION

362. BIS REVIEW NOS.62 & 61: ISLAMIC FINANCE & GLOBALIZATION

363. BIS: FINANCIAL GLOBALIZATION SPEECHES

364. BIS REVIEW NOS.65 & 64: GLOBAL HOMO ECONOMICUS

365. BIS REVIEW NOS.67 & 66: AFRICA

366. BIS REVIEW NOS.69 & 68: GLOBAL ECONOMY

367. HEBRON WALL

368. HEBRON CAVE OF MACHPELA

369. PRISM ISRAEL: AFRICA ISLAM

370. PRISM ISRAEL: AFRICA ISLAM III

371.TAU NOTES NO.174: PALESTINE

372.MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: ISLAMIST FUTURE

373.EGOZ UNIT GOLANI BRIGADE ISRAEL: GAZA STRIP REPRESSION

374.GIVATI BRIGADE: GAZA STRIP REPRESSION

375.KNESSET CHRISTIAN ALLIES CAUCUS: YURI SHTERN & NATAN SHARANSKY

376.MERIA JOURNAL ISRAEL: MIDDLE EAST POLITICAL ORDER

377. ARIEL CENTER ISRAEL: NATIV

378.SHIACHAT.COM RICHARD MELSON POSTS

379. IDI ISRAEL: OLMERT SPEECH

380.JAPAN & ISLAMIC BANKING: SHINGETSU INSTITUTE

381.ISLAM IN AFRICA: PRISM ISRAEL

382. VARANASI HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING: DR.MISHRA INDIA

383. GFMS LONDON: PLATINUM & PALLADIUM ANNUAL SURVEY

384.MOROCCO CONFERENCE: CHATHAM HOUSE

385.IRANIAN CONSULTING: TEHERAN

386.IRAN INDIA GAS: ME NEWSLINE

387.US INDIA PAC: INDIA NUCLEAR PACT

388.TEMPTATIONS OF THE WEST: BOOK

389.IISS LONDON: MILITARY BALANCE ASSESSMENT

390.CGES OIL SYMPOSIUM

391.CGES OIL SYMPOSIUM II

392.ISRAEL CABINET COMMUNIQUE

393.ISRAEL ACRI

394.FOREIGN POLICY: E-ALERT ON ISRAEL LOBBY

395.ISLAMOPHOBIA TWO BOOKS: DEMOCRACY JOURNAL

396.RIGHT AND LEFT: JOSEPH ROTH NOVEL

397.IRAN IRAQ KURDS: TWO MAPS

398.IPS MIDDLE EAST NEWS

399.MANHIGUT LEADERSHIP MOVEMENT: ISRAEL

400.JERUSALEM NEWS: CHRISTIAN ZIONISM

401.GLOBAL BEAT: GAZA

402.JEWISH AGENCY FOR ISRAEL: MAG-NET NEWSLETTER

403.ISRAEL CABINET COMMUNIQUE: JULY 2, 2006

404. FORESTS & DEFORESTATION: UN

405. RAINWATER HARVESTING: IRHA

406. MENAFN: FINANCIAL NETWORK MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA

407. MIDDLE EAST ECONOMIC DIGEST

408. RIETI: JAPAN

409. ARGONNE NATIONAL LAB: RESEARCH

410. DAVID SASSOON & SUEZ CRISIS & JEWS

411. EDMOND JABES & SUEZ CRISIS & JEWS

412. ARAB JEWS: MIZRAHI

413.JEWISH PLANNING INSTITUTE: JERUSALEM

414. CAESAREA FORUM: IDI ISRAEL

415. MERIA JOURNAL: PALESTINE NATIONAL AUTHORITY

416. TAU NOTES NO.175: GAZA

417. TAU NOTES NO.176: SYRIA

418. TAU NOTES NO.177: HIZBULLAH

419. TAU NOTES NO.178: HIZBULLAH II

420. TAU NOTES NO.179: HIZBULLAH III

421. TAU NOTES NO.180: HIZBULLAH IV

422. TAU NOTES NO.181: HIZBULLAH V

423. TAU NOTES NO.182: LEBANON WAR

424. TAU NOTES NO.183: IRAN

425. ENTROPY: HISTORICAL OVERVIEW

426. ENTROPY

427. ENTROPY & ECONOMICS

428. ENTROPY & INTEREST: ISLAMIC FINANCE

429. THERMODYNAMICS: OVERVIEW

430. CHARLES BABBAGE: ECONOMICS & COMPUTERS

431. JAMES JOULE

432. HISTORY OF ECONOMIC THOUGHT: NEW SCHOOL

433. UK 1696: BOARD OF TRADE

434. MARGINALIST REVOLUTION & JEVONS

435. MARGINALIST REVOLUTION & JEVONS II

436. HECKSCHER-OHLIN TRADE MODEL

437. EAST INDIA COMPANY: HISTORY

438. BIRMINGHAM LUNAR SOCIETY: WORLD’S FORST INDUSTRIAL THINK TANK

439. STEAM ENGINES

440. STEAM ENGINES II

441. RANKINE CYCLE

442. SOUTH CENTRE BULLETIN: DOHA

443. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.126: SOUTH-SOUTH TRADE

444. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.127: EAST ASIA

445. JOHN BUCHAN 1916 THRILLER GREENMANTLE: MUSLIMS & JEWS IN THE WORLD SYSTEM

446. JOHN MASEFIELD 1924 ADVENTURE SARD HARKER: MUSLIMS & JEWS IN THE WORLD SYSTEM II

447. TA-HA PUBLISHERS LTD. LONDON: CONTEMPORARY ISLAM

448. FREEMAN CENTER: GAZA MOSHE ARENS

449. IRAQ THIS WEEK: MNF

450. STRATEGIC FORECASTING: STRATFOR RED ALERT MIDDLE EAST

451. THE BOX THAT CHANGED THE WORLD: BOOK

452. CFG: MAPS

453. CFG: MAPS II

454. CFG: MAPS CHINA

455. CHINESE WRITER: MAO DUN

456. SCO SHANGHAI: CHINA-ISLAMIC AXIS?

457. PRINCE ALWALEED BIN TALAL: KINGDOM HOLDING COMPANY SAUDI ARABIA

458. MUSLIM WAKE UP! RICHARD MELSON POSTS

459. WALTER LIPPMANN & BLUE-WATER NAVAL STRATEGIES

460. MATTHEW ARNOLD & DEEP ANGLO-AMERICAN HISTORY AS ROOTS OF NEOLIBERALISM

461. PEQUOD VERSUS HMS BEAGLE: METAPHYSICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE PRESENT

462. HUSSERL: METAPHYSICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE PRESENT

463. DOSTOYEVSKY: METAPHYSICAL FOUNDATIONS OF THE PRESENT

464. DYLAN

465. GENERAL MAUDE & BAGHDAD & WWI

466. ISRAEL’S GLOBAL DISRUPTION STRATEGY

467. ISRAEL’S GLOBAL DISRUPTION STRATEGY II: HOW ZIONIST PROFESSORS LIKE EFRAIM KARSH PROMOTE ISLAMO-PHOBIA

468. TIKKUN: JEWISH CONSPIRACY?

469. HIZBULLAH

470. HIZBULLAH II: TV

471. MUSLIM SOCIETY: GELLNER BOOK

472. NATIONAL BANK OF DUBAI

473. ISRAEL SETTLER BLOG

474. ISRAEL SETTLER BLOG II

475. RUSSIA TANKER MARKET: FEARNLEYS NORWAY

476. LEVANT INSTITUTE: SYRIA

477. MULTI-NATIONAL CORPS IRAQ: MILITARY

478. ALEXANDER’S OIL & GAS

479. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.129: SOUTH-SOUTH COOPERATION

480. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.130: NORTH-SOUTH

481. CELSO FURTADO CENTER: BRAZIL

482. ETHANOL ILSR

483. GREENFUEL: CAMBRIDGE MA

484. ISLAMOPHOBIA AS ZIONIST INDUSTRY: PAKISTAN TRIBUNE

485. MUSLIMS VERSUS JEWS: PAKISTAN TRIBUNE

486. ZIONIST NEW WORLD ORDER: WAR AGAINST ISLAM

487. POST-ZIONISM?: ASIA TIMES ONLINE

488. CHINA COMMODITY: DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH

489. SOAS LONDON MIDDLE EAST INSTITUTE: BOOK LAUNCH

490. EFRAIM KARSH BOOK: ZIONIST ISLAMOPHOBIA SCHOLARSHIP

491. MARTIAN ANTHROPOLOGIST BLOGSITE

492. THE ANGRY ARAB BLOGSITE

493. MILITANT ISLAM BLOGSITE

494. LEBANON BLOGGERS

495. LEBANON BLOGGERS: RED STATE

496. THOMAS BARNETT BLOGSITE

497. BLOVIATOR BLOGSITE:NEED FOR DE-ZIONIZATION THEME

498. CHINA CONFIDENTIAL BLOGSITE

499. GORILLA IN THE ROOM BLOGSITE: NEO-CONS

500. INTELLIGENCE SUMMIT BLOGSITE: NEO-CONS II

501. REAL CLEAR POLITICS BLOG

502. ZIONIST WAR BLOG

503. BUSINESS IRAQ: US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS

504. BAGHDAD WATER

505. BAGHDAD HOTEL

506. MILITARY IRAQ

507. STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT ISRAEL: LEBANON WAR

508. BESA CENTER ISRAEL

509. AWDA NEWS: PROTESTS

510. ISLAMIC BANKING & FINANCE: EUROMONEY SUMMIT

511. ISLAMIC BANKING & FINANCE: EUROMONEY SUMMIT II

512. ISLAMIC BANKING & FINANCE: DUBAI CONFERENCE

513. ISLAMIC REAL ESTATE: SINGAPORE CONFERENCE

514. WIBC: WORLD ISLAMIC BANKING CONFERENCE

515. ISLAMIC BANKING: JAPAN

516. PERSIAN GULF INVESTMENT: ZAWYA NEWSLETTER

517. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM: EIDELBERG & PIPES

518. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM II: FRONTPAGE & HOROWITZ

519. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM III: JIHADWATCH & ROBERT SPENCER

520. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM IV: JIHADWATCH

521. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM V: KNESSET CHRISTIAN ALLIES CONFERENCE 2006

522. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM VI: GLORIA CENTER ISRAEL

523. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM VII: GLORIA CENTER ISRAEL GLOBAL SECURITY

524. ISLAMOPHOBIA & EXTERMINISM VIII: GLORIA CENTER ISRAEL ISLAM IN AFRICA

525. ENERGY USE U.S.

526. BERNANKE SPEECH ON GLOBALIZATIONA>

527. ISRAEL & BTC OIL PIPELINES

528. BIODIESEL FINANCE

529. FUEL CELLS

530. BIS REVIEW NOS. 71 & 72

531. POTOMAC INSTITUTE: INVITATION

532. IRAQ POWER PLANT: US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS

533. IRAQ ASPHALT PLANT: US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS

534. IRAQ KIRKUK RAILWAY: US ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS

535. IRAQ: US ARMY

536. IRAQ POLICE BAGHDAD: US ARMY

537. MUSSOLINI: JEWS & ARABS HAARETZ

538. MUSSOLINI II: MICHAEL LEDEEN

539. IICS TEHERAN: KOREA & CASPIAN OIL

540. CASPIAN INVESTOR

541. WUPPERTAL INSTITUTE: CLIMATE & ENERGY

542. ASIA BONDS ONLINE

543. INDIAN EXPRESS HEADLINES

544. UN RESOLUTION 1701: CEASEFIRE LEBANON WAR

545. ARAB CARTOONS

546. JTA: JEWISH NEWS

547. ARAB CARTOONS I

548. LETTER TO EDITOR: ARAB TIMES ONLINE KUWAIT

549. CGES OIL SYMPOSIUM 2006: LONDON YAMANI

550. SUEZ CRISIS: I.B.TAURIS BOOK

551. US MILITARY IRAQ

552. US MILITARY IRAQ: MEDICAL

553. US MILITARY IRAQ: MEDICAL II

554. ISLAMIC FINANCE & DEVELOPMENT: BIS REVIEW NOS.77-63

555. MI6 UK

556. DEUTSCHE BANK RESEARCH: CHINA

557. CLIMATE CHANGE: METHANE

558. DESALINIZATION: JORDAN MEETING

559. FERTILIZER SCIENCE

560. TAIGA RESCUE

561. IPIECA: CLIMATE WORKSHOPS

562. RUSSIAN UTILITIES: LONDON CONFERENCE

563. RUSSIA FORUM: EVENTICA

564. YAPI KREDI BANK: TURKEY

565. 1919: MODERN TIMES

566. EGYPTIAN REVOLUTION OF 1919: NAGUIB MAHFOUZ TRAUMA

567. CHINA REVOLUTION OF 1919: MAY FOURTH MOVEMENT

568. HAZARD OF NEW FORTUNES: LEWIS LAPHAM SEES AS KEY TO AMERICAN PATTERN

569. YUVAL DISKIN & SHABAK: PALESTINE ASSASSINATIONS

570. NORDAU & HERZL

571. BTC PIPELINES: ISRAEL & THE GREAT GAME

572. SAUDI ARAMCO: TRADE ARABIA

573. IRAQ NEWS

574. DEVELOPMENT COMMITTEE: IMF-WORLD BANK

575. DEVELOPMENT: ISLAMIC BANKING & FINANCE AS CATALYSTS

576. ECONOMIC HISTORY: BRAZIL

577. GLOBALIZATION OF SECURITY SERVICES: MOSSAD & SAVAK

578. SYKES-PICOT CONFIDENTIAL TREATY

579. DREYFUS AFFAIR & 2006 FRENCH CENTENNIAL

580. BIS REVIEW NOS.77-73: ISLAMIC FINANCE & DEVELOPMENT: MALAYSIA

581. BIS REVIEW NOS.80-78: BERNANKE ON PRODUCTIVITY

582. BIS REVIEW NOS.83-81 & 70: SAUDI ARABIA

583. BIS REVIEW NOS.86-84: MALAYSIAN ISLAMIC FINANCE

584. MERIA JOURNAL: THE NEXT GENIE IRAN

585. MERIA JOURNAL: THE NEW MIDDLE EAST

586. LEBANON 1982 & 9/11

587. MEFORUM: ISLAMOPHOBIA FROM NEOCONS

588. ADONIS: ARABIC POET

589. RALPH WALDO EMERSON: 1844 SPEECH ON GLOBAL WEBS

590. RALPH WALDO EMERSON: 1844 NATURE ESSAYS

591. WALT WHITMAN PASSAGE TO INDIA 1871: TECHNO-POETICAL GLOBALIZATION

592. WILLIAM WHEWELL & THE WORD SCIENTIST

593. TEL AVIV NOTES 185: IRAN ECONOMIC SANCTIONS

594. ISAYARET DATABASE ISRAEL

595. PALESTINE POLL 23

596. MERIA JOURNAL: UAE

597. MERIA JOURNAL: MAGHREB

598. BESA PERSPECTIVES: SECOND LEBANON WAR

599. EDWARD BERNAYS: MODERN PROPAGANDA & PR

600. DYING TO WIN: ROBERT PAPE BOOK

601. SHOPPING FOR BOMBS: BOOK

602. SHAPE OF THINGS TO COME: BOOK

603. FARADAY: CHEMICAL HISTORY OF A CANDLE

604. IRAQ: AHMADIYAH

605. IRAQ: ANBAR

606. ZIONISM: ENDING

607. ZIONISM: KARSH-TYPE SCHOLARLY ISLAMOPHOBIA

608. GLOBAL VERSUS WORLD

609. CLIMATE CHANGE: NAO

610. CLIMATE CHANGE: NICK STERN REVIEW

611. ANTONIO GRAMSCI: HEGEMONY

612. MAX HAVELAAR: ANTI-HEGEMONY

613. ANTAGONISMS

614. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.131: SOUTH-SOUTH DEVELOPMENT

615. ISLAMIC WORLD

616. STRATEGIC ELLIPSE

617. GROWTH THEORY

618. ZELIKOW RICE ISRAEL

619. RESTRATIFICATION ANXIETY: NEOCON NIGHTMARE GLOBALIZATION

620. G-20 BLOC

621. LONDON MIDDLE EAST INSTITUTE

622. PRISM PAPERS: ISLAM & ALGERIA

623. MERIA JOURNAL: EGYPT & IRAN

624. MERIA JOURNAL: TURKEY & UAE

625. ARIEL CENTER: NATIV ONLINE

626. EU ENLARGEMENT: CICERO FOUNDATION PARIS

627. RIYADH BANK: SEPTEMBER 2006

628. PALESTINE SUPPORT: SEPTEMBER 2006

629. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.132: NAM GLOBAL SOUTH

630. BRUNO SCHULZ: WRITER

631. JOSEPH ROTH: WRITER II

632. JUDAH HALEVI: WRITER III

633. EL CID: CHRISTIANS JEWS MUSLIMS

634. BESA CENTER ISRAEL: LEBANON WAR II

635. ZAYAD MILITARY DOCTRINE

636. TAU NOTES NUMBER 187: LEBANON WAR & BUDGET

637. PAKISTAN BETWEEN MILITARY AND MOSQUE: BOOK

638. ISLAM IN AFRICA NO.5: PRISM

639. ISLAMOPHOBIA & CHURCHILL

640. KUWAIT GLOBAL INVESTMENT HOUSE

641. BRAUDEL INSTITUTE: BRAZIL

642. AMIYA KUMAR BAGCHI: BOOK

643. BENGAL FAMINE OF 1770

644. BIS REVIEW NOS.91-87: TURKEY

645. BIS REVIEW NOS.97-92: BERNANKE

646. BIS REVIEW NOS.101-98: AZIZ: ISLAMIC FINANCIAL MARKETS

647. BIS REVIEW NOS.104-102: AZIZ: ISLAMIC FINANCIAL CENTRE MALAYSIA

648. BIS REVIEW NOS.107-105: INDIA

649. BIS REVIEW NOS.109-108: WORLD SAVINGS

650. BIS REVIEW NOS.111-110: MONETARY POLICY & BERNANKE

651. BIS REVIEW NOS.113-112: INDIA

652. BIS: OTC DERIVATIVES

653. PAKISTAN STRATEGIC

654. PAKISTAN FATA: TRIBAL AREAS

655. PAKISTAN & AFGHANISTAN: TRIBALISM

656. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.133: SOUTH SOUTH DEVELOPMENT

657. SOUTH BULLETIN NO.134: MANMOHAN SINGH

658. BLOG: IRAQ POET

659. BLOG: ANTIZIONIST JEWS

660. BLOG: JERUSALEM POST

661. BLOG: CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP

662. BLOG: PARSI IRAN

663. BLOG: HEALING IRAQ

664. BLOG: THOUGHTS ON ECONOMICS

665. BLOG: OIL CHANGE

666. BLOG: ANTIZIONISM DAVOS IHT

667. BLOG: THE INDIAN ECONOMY

668. BLOG: ECONBROWSER

669. BLOG: FINANCIAL

670. BLOG: CLIMATE CHANGE

671. BLOG: MUSLIM INDIA

672. BLOG: SYRIA COMMENT

673. BLOG: MID-EAST REALITIES

674. TAU NOTES NO.189: ASAD

675. TAU NOTES NO.190: GAZA

676. JACOB TALMON

677. JACOB TALMON II

678. CABINET COMMUNIQUE OCTOBER 15 2006: ISRAEL GOVERNMENT

679. GLOBAL INVESTMENT HOUSE: KUWAIT

680. NBK: KUWAIT

681. JEWISH WORLD REVIEW

682. OVSHINSKY HYDROGEN ECONOMY

683. WAZIRISTAN PAKISTAN

684. GLOBAL ENERGY REGULATION

685. TAU ISRAEL: STRATEGIC ASSESSMENT

686. THE OTHER ISRAEL: PEACE SITE

687. OSP: PENTAGON DOUGLAS FEITH

688. UNITED STATES AIR FORCE NEWS

689. HONG KONG MONETARY AUTHORITY

690. ASIAN INVESTOR

691. INTELLIGENCE INDIA: RAW UNIT

692. OIL & GAS: PLATTS JOHN ROBERTS

693. ECONOMIC ANALYSES FROM ECONBROWSER SITE

694. ISLAMOPHOBIA & JERUSALEM SUMMIT

695. AVNER GREIF ECONOMIC HISTORY

696. THEOCONS: BOOK

697. TERROR PARANOIA INDUSTRY: NEOCON MISCHIEF

698. MAMET BOOK ON JEWS

699. CHINA & AFRICA

700. IRAQ INSURGENCY

701. RIYAD BANK TADWAUL INDEX

702. ALHEWAR: US MIDEAST FREEFALL

703. MICRO FINANCE RESEARCH: INDIA

704. MONETARY AUTHORITY OF SINGAPORE

704. DRESDNER BANK NEWSLETTER

CAMBRIDGE FORECAST GROUP:

Middle East & World Posts from Main CFG Website

http://www.cambridgeforecast.org

MIDDLE EAST & WORLD

© 1997-2010 Cambridge Forecast Group

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“WORLD ECONOMICS”

July 6, 2010 at 6:41 am | Posted in Economics, Eurozone, Financial, Globalization, History, Research | Leave a comment

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Content alert

WORLD ECONOMICS

Volume 11 Number 2, 2010

World Economics: Content Alert – Volume 11 No 2

Tue 7/06/10

These papers are from the latest issue. Click the titles to go to the journal’s website for the full-text articles. At the website use Search or browse Previous issues to check your areas of interest.

Debt and Deleveraging
The global credit bubble and its economic consequences
Susan Lund and Charles Roxburgh
In this article, McKinsey Global Institute researchers assess the increases in debt and leverage in ten mature economies and four emerging economies breaking down that data by each countrys financial, household, non-financial business and government sectors. The authors then analyse the sustainability of current levels of leverage in those sectors and construct a heat map of deleveraging. The map shows which sectors in which economies are most likely to deleverage. Third, the authors analyse 45 episodes of deleveraging since 1930, focusing on the 32 episodes that occurred after a financial crisis. From these episodes, the authors draw insights into the macroeconomic channels through which a country can deleverage. Finally, they discuss the policy and business implications of the findings.

Clearing the Fog
How useful are short-term economic indicators?
Simon Hayes and James Ashley
Official statistical agencies produce a number of data series that are more timely and of higher frequency than the published estimates of GDP growth. There are also numerous private-sector measures and surveys that provide a running commentary on economic developments. In this article we assess the extent to which the major economic indicators in the UK, US and euro area can be used to reduce uncertainty about the prevailing pace of economic growth. We find that, whatever timely indicators are used, uncertainty about GDP growth in the current quarter and in the recent past remains high, but that the most consistent stand-alone indicator of contemporaneous activity is industrial production. However, the low share of industry in the economic output of industrialised economies means that sole reliance on IP as an indicator in predominantly services-based economies is unsatisfactory. We are, therefore, drawn towards the conclusion that more timely indicators of services activity both in the form of official data and business surveys would be helpful.

Greece and the State
Prometheus Bound?
Michael Massourakis
Pervasive state intervention in Greece has mired the economy with large-scale inefficiencies and an uneven playing field, protecting insiders and rent-seekers to the detriment of its underlying growth potential, with the political class at the same time failing miserably to address the aspirations of the people. Fiscal consolidation and structural reform, currently pursued under the EUIMF stabilisation programme, if vigorously implemented, are expected to strengthen the Greek economy and to contribute towards the withering away of the Greek state in its present form. The Greeks are resourceful people and will not capitulate in the face of a daunting adjustment, which may prove easier than generally expected if structural weaknesses are adequately and swiftly addressed. Greeces future lies with rebalancing the economy towards net exports, with tourism and real estate being the primary development motors.

Greek Economic Statistics: A Decade of Deceit
So how come the rating agencies missed it again?
Brian Sturgess
This paper looks at the recent problems in official Greek economic data on public finances, whose reliability has been impaired by inappropriate accounting methods, the application of poor statistical methods and deliberate misreporting. Data on deficits and debt have been misleading from before Greece’s Eurozone entry, but despite a regular supply of public information about the problems, the rating agencies did not respond by downgrading Greek public debt until it was too late. These agencies reacted to, rather than leading, market trends that were already under way. The issue casts doubt on the fitness for purpose of the European Statistical System where the powers of Eurostat, the statistics arm of the European Commission have been inadequate to effectively monitor the fiscal status of eurozone countries. These powers, at present limited by the principle of subsidiarity to administering a Code of Practice, must be strengthened closer to approximating a power of audit.

The Economic Crisis and the Commonwealth
A review with analysis and solutions
Michael Chibba
This paper reviews the nature of the economic crisis and discusses its impact on the Commonwealth. Further, it offers an analysis and suggestions on how Commonwealth nations can move forward to both tackle the impact of the crisis and prepare for the post-crisis period, through five key policy principles that can serve as a guide in the formulation and implementation of appropriate policies, strategies and programmes.

The International Financial Architecture
Yesterday, today and tomorrow
Onno de Beaufort Wijnholds
The global financial crisis requires a global solution. A deep-seated overhaul of the international financial system is needed, but could be frustrated by political wrangling, particularly in the United States, but also in the European Union. Moreover, international coordination is complicated; without it there will be no level playing field and the resulting distortions could have serious consequences. The international monetary system (IMS) has come out of the crisis relatively unscathed, but is vulnerable to large-scale attacks on major currencies. Global imbalances have been temporarily reduced, but continue to pose a challenge in coming years. In order to strengthen the IMS and to accommodate the desire for diversification of official reserves, the proposal for an SDR Substitution Account (SA) that would allow central banks to convert excess dollar holdings into SDRs should be revived and streamlined. Eliminating the present dollar overhang and avoiding its recurrence in the future would benefit all major players in the world economy. The problem of exchange rate risk run by an IMF-administered SA could be eased by ring-fencing part of the IMFs gold for that purpose. Ultimately, world reserves could consist of roughly one-third in dollars, euros and SDRs.

A Tale of Two Crises
Harold Lind
The paper argues that many erroneous conclusions derived from modelling are due to mistakes in logic rather than scientific methodology. The widely accepted models predicting the catastrophic consequences of carbon emissions, and suggesting how cuts by the developed world can prevent them, all ignore population growth and distribution, and such data are not used as independent variables in the global warming models. This casts doubt on the probability of the models, and even more on the suggested solutions, as an astonishingly high degree of accuracy in highly complex forecasts over a period of almost a century would be required, without which the extremely costly solutions would be either unnecessary or insufficient. Over a 30-year period, forecasts of population are likely to be much more accurate than those for climate. Within such a period, population in the worlds poorest countries will almost double, leading to virtually all the disasters that are predicted to arise from global warming some decades later. Since many measures taken to avoid putative global warming are likely to exacerbate the more rapidly approaching dangers of population growth, it would appear logical to give more consideration to assisting the poorer countries rather than impoverishing the rich.

Green Stimulus, Green Recovery and Global Imbalances
Edward B. Barbier
This paper assesses the extent to which G20 green stimulus initiatives enacted during the 20089 recession have instigated a global green recovery, and how further green recovery policy initiatives by the G20 relate to concerns about chronic fiscal deficits and global imbalances. Implementing further green measures will require G20 economies to commit to increased public investments, new pricing policies, improving regulations, more aid disbursements and other policy changes. Although there may be concern that these additional initiatives could worsen the chronic fiscal deficits and structural imbalances, if properly enacted, such a green economic recovery strategy should help alleviate, rather than worsen, unstably large fiscal deficits, long-term real interest rate rises and inflation, and global imbalances.

Vietnam: From Transitional State to Asian Tiger?
Issues of the Vietnamese economic transformation experience
F. Gerard Adams and Anh Le Tran
Putting aside the legacy of its unique history, Vietnam has achieved an excellent growth record. But it is still far behind the leading East Asian economies. We consider the Vietnamese growth strategy in light of the controversies about accumulation vs assimilation and non-intervention vs governing the market. We discuss the changes that are occurring as a result of the actions of the still large state-owned sector, and as a result of growing private domestic and FDI-led entrepreneurship. Policy options for directing economic development are today influenced by Vietnams participation in AFTA and WTO. Trade links with China, Japan and the US also influence the direction of Vietnamese development.

To the editors of World Economics
Tim Congdon

Keith Boyfield on Dambisa Moyo: Dead Aid
Keith Boyfield

John Williamson on Carol Graham: Happiness Around the World
John Williamson

George Soros Reflexivity and the Global Financial Crisis
Thomas D. Willett

WORLD ECONOMICS

Published quarterly
www.world-economics-journal.com

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Content alert

WORLD ECONOMICS

Volume 11 Number 2, 2010

World Economics: Content Alert – Volume 11 No 2

www.world-economics-journal.com

World Economics (postmaster@world-economics-journal.com)

Tue 7/06/10

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