“MONETARY POLICY HOUSING BOOMS AND FINANCIAL IMBALANCES”: BUNDESBANK DISCUSSION PAPER

May 14, 2010 at 8:20 am | Posted in Economics, Financial, Globalization, History, Research, World-system | Leave a comment

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Bundesbank Discussion Paper‏

Newsletter Forschungszentrum Bundesbank

Fri 5/14/10

Dear customer,

the
Bundesbank Research Centre has released a new Discussion Paper (No 07/2010 Series 1).

Author/s:
Sandra Eickmeier
Boris Hofmann

Title:
Monetary policy, housing booms and financial (im)balances

Abstract:
This paper uses a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) estimated on U.S. data in order to analyze monetary transmission via private sector balance sheets, credit risk spreads and asset markets in an integrated setup and
to explore the role of monetary policy in the three imbalances that were observed prior to the global financial crisis: high house price inflation, strong private debt growth and low credit risk spreads. The results suggest that (i) monetary policy shocks have a highly significant and persistent effect on house prices, real estate wealth and private sector debt as well as a strong short-lived effect on risk spreads in the money and mortgage markets; (ii) monetary policy shocks have contributed discernibly, but at a late stage to the unsustainable developments in house and credit markets that were observable between 2001 and 2006; (iii) financial shocks have influenced the path of policy rates prior to the crisis, and the feedback effects of financial shocks via lower policy rates
on property and credit markets are found to have probably been considerable.

http://vo5555.newsletter.bundesbank.de/servlet/rd?l=Diskussionspapiere-JOKA-PJN1-M7DJ-ONL3-NWSL128

+ 01: Deutsche Bundesbank
Forschungszentrum
Research Centre
Wilhelm-Epstein-Strasse 14
60431 Frankfurt am Main
Germany

+ 02: Kontakt
presse-information@bundesbank.de

Bundesbank Discussion Paper‏

Newsletter Forschungszentrum Bundesbank

Monetary policy, housing booms and financial (im)balances

http://vo5555.newsletter.bundesbank.de/servlet/rd?l=Diskussionspapiere-JOKA-PJN1-M7DJ-ONL3-NWSL128

Fri 5/14/10

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